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Germany, China, and the EU: From Deep Interdependence to Managed Strategic Friction
Germany’s relationship with China is undergoing a profound transformation. For decades, Berlin treated China primarily as an engine of opportunity: a market for German exporters, a production base for global firms, and a pillar of industrial profitability. That approach was rooted in a broader German strategic culture often summarized as “Wandel durch Handel”—the belief that trade and interdependence could moderate political differences and, over time, encourage convergence. Today, that paradigm is giving way to a much less optimistic model. Germany still seeks to preserve economic ties with China, but it is increasingly attempting to do so under the logic of de-risking: reducing strategic vulnerabilities while continuing selective engagement. This shift…
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This Winter is Cold, Germany’s Economy is Colder
As winter grips Germany, the chill in the economy feels even harsher. Once the engine of Europe, Germany now faces a deep economic freeze marked by stagnation, structural weaknesses, and a wave of industrial decline. Factories are relocating abroad, businesses are shuttering, and job cuts are sweeping across multiple sectors. The question is no longer whether Germany is slowing down—it’s how long this economic winter will last. The Economic Frost: A Snapshot Germany’s GDP growth has hovered near zero for three consecutive years, with 2025 projections signaling continued stagnation. High energy costs, rigid regulations, and geopolitical uncertainties have eroded the foundations of the German model. The loss of cheap Russian…





